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gdp growth plummets raising concerns over economic outlook and rate cuts
Q2 GDP growth has unexpectedly plummeted to 5.4%, raising doubts about the finance ministry's full-year estimate of 6.5-7%. This slowdown, attributed to demand deficits and external factors, may prompt a rate cut by the Monetary Policy Committee, despite rising retail inflation at 6.2%. The RBI's tightening of unsecured credit is further complicating the economic outlook, as inflation pressures threaten consumption and corporate investment.
monetary policy debate intensifies as rate-cut advocates gain traction
Rate-setters are facing pressure to consider a rate cut in the upcoming monetary policy meeting, with MPC member Nagesh Kumar advocating for this move. He argues that a reduction could stimulate demand and private investment, citing easing inflation, sluggish demand, and actions by other central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, as key factors.
rural demand struggles amid rising costs and stagnant income levels
Rural demand in India has recently surged, primarily driven by increased borrowing, but concerns linger over urban demand and economic conditions. Maruti Suzuki's Chairman highlighted a decline in sales of sub-Rs 10 lakh cars due to stagnant incomes and rising fuel prices, while Nestle's MD noted sluggish growth in the FMCG sector, with food and beverage growth dropping to 1.5-2%. The RBI is urged to consider a rate cut as demand across major sectors moderates.
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